Chile vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2000 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
71%
18%
12%
|
100 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
13%
21%
66%
|
100 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
85%
11%
4%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
10%
20%
70%
|
100 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
100 | 98 | 2 | 0 |