Chile vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
61.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
49%
28%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1983 |
PER
0 - 1
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 2
CHI
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1983 |
COL
2 - 2
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
SWE
3 - 3
BRA
17%
25%
57%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1983 |
SUI
1 - 2
BRA
14%
24%
62%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRA
16%
25%
60%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
POR
0 - 4
BRA
18%
26%
56%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
87%
11%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |