Chile vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
58.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1981 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1981 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 1
ESP
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
CHI
2 - 0
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1981 |
BRA
1 - 0
ESP
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1981 |
BRD
1 - 2
BRA
53%
24%
23%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1981 |
FRA
1 - 3
BRA
27%
27%
47%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
ENG
0 - 1
BRA
44%
26%
30%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
BRA
5 - 0
VEN
95%
4%
1%
|
94 | 60 | 34 | 0 |