Chile vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
5 - 0
CHI
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1969 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
28%
22%
51%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
82%
13%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 1
ITA
70%
17%
13%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 1
URU
81%
12%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
4 - 2
PER
82%
11%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
BRA
3 - 2
ROU
84%
10%
6%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |