Chile vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAR
57%
20%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
PAR
4 - 0
CHI
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1953 |
PER
5 - 0
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1953 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
67%
17%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1953 |
CHI
1 - 2
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1953 |
PAR
3 - 2
BRA
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
BRA
37%
22%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |