Chile vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1919 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1919 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
BRA
6 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1917 |
BRA
5 - 0
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1919 |
URU
2 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
BRA
6 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |