Chile vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
ARG
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
VEN
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAN
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |