Chile vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHI
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1975 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
70%
16%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1975 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1975 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1975 |
PER
3 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
22%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
2 - 1
CHI
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 0
ECU
66%
18%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
30%
23%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |