Chile vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
14.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
27%
22%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
1 - 0
BRA
26%
22%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
81%
11%
7%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
6 - 2
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 2
ECU
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
32%
20%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 3
PAR
31%
20%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 1
BOL
70%
15%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1957 |
PAR
5 - 2
BOL
69%
15%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |