Chile vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
PER
32%
22%
45%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
77%
13%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
URU
3 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |