Chile vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 0
NIR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 2
EGY
65%
20%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 0
CRC
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
AUS
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 1
RSA
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
AUS
3 - 4
ECU
39%
28%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
AUS
1 - 0
CRC
52%
26%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 3
AUS
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |