Chile vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.6%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHL
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
CHL
1 - 0
URY
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
PRY
2 - 1
CHL
41%
29%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
COL
4 - 1
CHL
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHL
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARM
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ARM
1 - 5
DEU
10%
23%
67%
|
69 | 93 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
NIR
1 - 1
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
ARM
0 - 0
PRT
15%
25%
60%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
3 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |