Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
68%
21%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CHI
3 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1991 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1991 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHI
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARG
69%
20%
12%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
ENG
2 - 2
ARG
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1991 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
41%
29%
30%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
USA
0 - 1
ARG
24%
27%
49%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |