Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
87%
11%
3%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1982 |
ALG
3 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1982 |
BRD
4 - 1
CHI
89%
8%
4%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1982 |
CHI
0 - 1
AUT
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1982 |
CHI
1 - 0
IRL
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
2 - 0
SLV
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
4 - 1
HUN
63%
19%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
0 - 1
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |