Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
1 - 0
YUG
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 0
ITA
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1962 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
HUN
0 - 0
ARG
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
ENG
3 - 1
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
BGR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
MEX
70%
17%
13%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |