Chile vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 0
CHI
35%
21%
44%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
70%
15%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
27%
22%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
1 - 0
BRA
26%
22%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
81%
11%
7%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 0
ARG
28%
23%
49%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1957 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
44%
23%
33%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
BRA
1 - 2
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1957 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |