Chile vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CHI
5 - 2
PER
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1960 |
CHI
3 - 1
PAR
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
CHI
4 - 1
PAR
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
1 - 4
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
0 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 1
GER
25%
22%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1960 |
GER
0 - 1
IRL
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1960 |
GER
2 - 1
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
HUN
4 - 3
GER
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |