Chile vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 2
VEN
53%
23%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
COL
4 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BRA
16%
21%
64%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
BOL
71%
17%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 2
CRC
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CRC
0 - 1
PAN
47%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
PAN
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
PAN
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COL
5 - 0
PAN
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | -1 |