Chile vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
MEX
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
NED
2 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHI
72%
17%
10%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
AUS
63%
20%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
KOR
4 - 1
HTI
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
SLV
1 - 0
HTI
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
TTO
0 - 2
HTI
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
HTI
0 - 2
HND
16%
22%
63%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 2
HTI
82%
14%
4%
|
68 | 94 | 26 | +1 |