Chile vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
SRB
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
25%
25%
50%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
ECU
3 - 1
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
COL
52%
25%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
HTI
1 - 0
MTQ
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
HTI
0 - 1
CUB
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
ATG
0 - 1
HTI
14%
21%
66%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 2
HTI
19%
23%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HTI
0 - 0
TTO
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |