Chile vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SVK
0 - 0
CHI
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
POL
1 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 2
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CHI
51%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 0
GLP
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 1
CUB
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DOM
1 - 1
CUB
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 4
CUB
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CUB
3 - 1
ATG
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |