Chile vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHI
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
USA
2 - 1
CHI
40%
27%
33%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 1
CHI
24%
27%
49%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1998 |
BRA
4 - 1
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1998 |
CHI
1 - 1
CMR
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
4 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 2
HND
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
1 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
HND
1 - 0
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
7 - 0
BLZ
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |