Chile vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1995 |
BOL
2 - 2
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1995 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1995 |
USA
2 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 0
TUR
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAR
59%
24%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1995 |
CAN
3 - 1
TTO
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1995 |
CAN
3 - 1
JAM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
CAN
0 - 3
TUR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 3
TUR
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 2
CHI
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |