Czechoslovakia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
AUT
0 - 6
CSK
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
3 - 1
CSK
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1962 |
CSK
3 - 1
YUG
64%
18%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
CSK
1 - 0
HUN
49%
20%
31%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
MEX
3 - 1
CSK
63%
19%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
61%
18%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
NIR
73%
15%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
BGR
2 - 1
POL
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
HUN
17%
19%
64%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1962 |
POL
2 - 0
BEL
61%
18%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |