Czechoslovakia vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
CSK
3 - 1
AUT
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SUI
1 - 1
CSK
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1948 |
CSK
0 - 4
FRA
69%
15%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
72%
15%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
POL
3 - 1
CSK
42%
22%
37%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
YUG
6 - 1
LUX
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1948 |
LUX
6 - 0
AFG
61%
18%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
LUX
0 - 6
SCO
33%
22%
45%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1946 |
LUX
2 - 7
HUN
28%
21%
52%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
LUX
3 - 2
NOR
38%
21%
41%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |