Czechoslovakia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
ALB
2 - 1
CSK
28%
21%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1952 |
ALB
3 - 2
CSK
26%
20%
54%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
HUN
5 - 0
CSK
85%
9%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
CSK
2 - 2
POL
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
ROU
3 - 1
CSK
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
SWE
1 - 1
ITA
64%
17%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1952 |
HUN
3 - 0
ITA
68%
16%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
ITA
8 - 0
USA
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
55%
19%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |