Czechoslovakia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1937 |
CSK
1 - 3
SCO
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ROU
1 - 1
CSK
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
CSK
5 - 3
SUI
79%
13%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
ITA
2 - 0
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
AUT
2 - 0
ITA
58%
20%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
71%
16%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1936 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1936 |
ITA
4 - 2
SUI
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |