Czechoslovakia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
CSK
2 - 1
YUG
87%
8%
5%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
NED
1 - 2
CSK
49%
21%
29%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
CSK
1 - 1
AUT
51%
20%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
SUI
5 - 1
CSK
36%
22%
42%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1932 |
HUN
1 - 1
ITA
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
AUT
2 - 1
ITA
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1932 |
ITA
3 - 0
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
ITA
3 - 2
HUN
58%
19%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |