Czechoslovakia vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1927 |
HUN
1 - 2
CSK
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1927 |
CSK
2 - 0
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1927 |
YUG
1 - 1
CSK
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 17 | 64 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1927 |
CSK
4 - 0
BEL
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
CSK
4 - 1
HUN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1927 |
ITA
2 - 0
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1927 |
FRA
3 - 3
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1927 |
ITA
2 - 2
CSK
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1927 |
SUI
1 - 5
ITA
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |