Czechoslovakia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 3
CSK
32%
24%
45%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1930 |
CSK
1 - 1
HUN
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
CSK
2 - 2
AUT
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1930 |
POR
1 - 0
CSK
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSK
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1929 |
ESP
4 - 3
ENG
49%
21%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1929 |
ESP
8 - 1
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1929 |
ESP
5 - 0
POR
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1928 |
ITA
7 - 1
ESP
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |