Czechoslovakia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
ROU
2 - 1
CSK
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
CSK
1 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
DDR
1 - 1
CSK
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 0
CSK
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 4
CSK
19%
21%
60%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1971 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
AUT
6 - 0
IRL
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
AUT
1 - 0
SWE
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1971 |
BRA
1 - 1
AUT
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
IRL
1 - 4
AUT
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |