Czechoslovakia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SUI
1 - 1
CSK
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1948 |
CSK
0 - 4
FRA
69%
15%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
HUN
2 - 1
CSK
72%
15%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
POL
3 - 1
CSK
42%
22%
37%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ITA
3 - 1
CSK
76%
13%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1948 |
SWE
3 - 0
AUT
67%
16%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 1948 |
SWE
3 - 2
AUT
67%
16%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
TUR
0 - 1
AUT
36%
21%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
AUT
3 - 2
HUN
56%
19%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |