Czechoslovakia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1933 |
YUG
2 - 1
CSK
28%
22%
50%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1933 |
CSK
4 - 0
FRA
75%
13%
12%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
ITA
2 - 0
CSK
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
AUT
1 - 2
CSK
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
HUN
2 - 0
CSK
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
AUT
4 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1933 |
HUN
1 - 1
AUT
48%
21%
32%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
AUT
1 - 2
CSK
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1933 |
FRA
0 - 4
AUT
28%
21%
51%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1932 |
BEL
1 - 6
AUT
36%
22%
43%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |