Czechoslovakia vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 0
ESP
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSK
67%
17%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1936 |
FRA
0 - 3
CSK
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1935 |
CSK
2 - 1
ITA
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
HUN
1 - 0
CSK
58%
19%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
GER
7 - 2
LUX
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
POL
1 - 1
GER
42%
21%
36%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
GER
9 - 0
LUX
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 2
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |