Czechoslovakia vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czechoslovakia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1957 |
EGY
1 - 2
CSK
45%
23%
33%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
DDR
1 - 4
CSK
30%
21%
49%
|
80 | 16 | 64 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
AUT
2 - 2
CSK
69%
16%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
CSK
3 - 1
DDR
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 16 | 64 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
CSK
2 - 0
WAL
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
NED
1 - 2
BRD
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRD
28%
23%
49%
|
81 | 31 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1956 |
BRD
1 - 2
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
YUG
3 - 1
BRD
70%
16%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1954 |
BRD
1 - 3
FRA
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |