Chad vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
TOG
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MLI
2 - 1
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 3
SDN
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
TUN
0 - 1
BOT
73%
19%
8%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
SDN
2 - 6
TUN
25%
28%
48%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
TUN
1 - 1
FRA
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
CMR
2 - 2
TUN
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GAB
0 - 0
TUN
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |