Chad vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
NIG
1 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MLI
2 - 1
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 3
SDN
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SDN
1 - 2
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LBY
3 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2010 |
GAB
3 - 0
TOG
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
YEM
2 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
TOG
1 - 0
GAB
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
BHR
5 - 1
TOG
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
JPN
5 - 0
TOG
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | -1 |