Chad vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SLE
2 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLE
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
CHA
93%
5%
1%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 2
COD
38%
26%
35%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
3 - 3
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RWA
0 - 1
GAB
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 0
SDN
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |