Chad vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
83.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 1
TCD
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
TCD
1 - 0
LBR
19%
19%
62%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
LBR
1 - 0
TCD
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SDN
0 - 0
TCD
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
TCD
1 - 3
SDN
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 2
GUI
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RSA
2 - 1
MLI
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
MLI
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KSA
1 - 1
MLI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |