CAF Qualifying 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Chad vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
YEM
0 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
LBY
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EGY
4 - 0
CHA
97%
3%
0%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
TAN
1 - 0
MWI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
MWI
1 - 4
ZIM
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
2 - 0
MWI
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
MWI
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |