Asian Cup Qualification Playoffs Final
Global 2-2
Camboya vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camboya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LKA
0 - 0
KHM
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MNG
2 - 1
KHM
29%
19%
52%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KHM
2 - 0
MNG
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
KHM
1 - 4
GUY
13%
19%
69%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
KHM
0 - 2
EQG
9%
17%
74%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LKA
0 - 0
KHM
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
BRN
1 - 0
LKA
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BRN
1 - 0
LKA
31%
20%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
0 - 2
LKA
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LKA
0 - 0
PNG
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |