WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 4-1
Camboya vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Camboya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
SGP
4 - 2
KHM
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PHL
3 - 0
KHM
71%
18%
12%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
KHM
1 - 0
BRN
49%
22%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
KHM
0 - 1
MMR
11%
18%
71%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
TLS
2 - 3
KHM
12%
17%
70%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 2
MNG
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
MNP
94%
5%
1%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
0 - 0
MAC
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GUM
3 - 0
MAC
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 5
MAC
1%
7%
92%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | +1 |