WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 3-1
Bután vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
47%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LKA
0 - 1
BTN
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
AFG
3 - 0
BTN
74%
16%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 0
BTN
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
PAK
7 - 0
BTN
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LKA
0 - 1
BTN
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 0
LKA
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 1
LKA
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SYC
3 - 0
LKA
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
MDV
10 - 0
LKA
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |