WC Qual. Asia 1ª Ronda Final
Global 1-5
Bután vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
48%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
MDV
7 - 0
BTN
80%
13%
8%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
BTN
2 - 4
OMA
7%
17%
76%
|
21 | 75 | 54 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
PLE
10 - 0
BTN
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
BTN
0 - 2
PLE
7%
18%
75%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
BTN
0 - 2
MDV
14%
20%
67%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 1
GUM
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUM
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUM
4 - 0
MNP
87%
10%
3%
|
27 | 5 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TWN
2 - 0
GUM
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GUM
0 - 2
PRK
8%
18%
74%
|
28 | 75 | 47 | 0 |