Bután vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGD
0 - 0
BTN
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MDV
4 - 2
BTN
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
BGD
28%
24%
49%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
AFG
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -2 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
MDV
3 - 1
BTN
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGD
0 - 0
BTN
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
MDV
5 - 0
BGD
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
BGD
0 - 1
TJK
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
TJK
5 - 0
BGD
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
JOR
8 - 0
BGD
77%
18%
5%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |