Bután vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
MDV
3 - 1
BTN
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
QAT
6%
15%
79%
|
25 | 80 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
CHN
12 - 0
BTN
89%
9%
2%
|
26 | 83 | 57 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 1
HKG
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
BTN
3 - 4
MDV
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 0
BGD
59%
22%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AFG
3 - 0
KHM
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SYR
5 - 2
AFG
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
SGP
1 - 0
AFG
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
AFG
0 - 6
JPN
4%
14%
83%
|
45 | 88 | 43 | 0 |