Burundi vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
63.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
BDI
2 - 2
LSO
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 1
BDI
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BDI
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDN
2 - 3
UGA
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 0
UGA
19%
21%
60%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
UGA
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UGA
0 - 0
KEN
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 0
UGA
43%
27%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |