WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Burundi vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
BDI
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
NIG
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
DJI
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DJI
1 - 2
BDI
25%
23%
51%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
BDI
76%
18%
6%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
BDI
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SYC
1 - 1
ETH
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 4
MOZ
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MOZ
5 - 1
SYC
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 0
SYC
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |