CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Burundi vs Djibouti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
BDI
0 - 1
CMR
14%
24%
63%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 1
BDI
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
BDI
2 - 1
LBR
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BHR
1 - 0
BDI
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
BDI
14%
18%
68%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Djibouti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SSD
1 - 0
DJI
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
DJI
2 - 4
SSD
21%
23%
57%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NIG
7 - 2
DJI
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
DJI
0 - 4
ALG
7%
16%
77%
|
31 | 83 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
BFA
2 - 0
DJI
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 74 | 43 | 0 |