Burundi vs Yibuti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NER
0 - 0
BDI
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BDI
0 - 2
SEN
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NAM
1 - 3
BDI
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BDI
1 - 3
NAM
33%
27%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
COD
2 - 2
BDI
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Yibuti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TGO
5 - 0
DJI
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 3
TUN
10%
19%
71%
|
32 | 81 | 49 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LBR
5 - 0
DJI
69%
20%
12%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 1
LBR
15%
19%
66%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 1
DJI
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |